Lo lus nug ntawm kev hloov los yog ua ntxiv hovers tshaj RBI

By kev sib piv, muaj ib tug qub tub rog Tshiab Delhi Insider xws li Mayaram, 57, yuav ntaus nqi mus rau yuav tawm los mus rau tsoom fwv ceev kom yooj yim ntsig txog txoj cai nyob rau hauv dej siab ntawm kev loj hlob. Txawm li ntawd los, tib yam twb said ntawm Subbarao, uas tsis yog tau ib tug pushover.
Muab Rajan tus muaj zoo, nws yuav tau pom raws li ib tug neeg uas muaj peev xwm ua tau raws broad txoj cai cov nyom tsa los ntawm turmoil nyob rau hauv lub rupee, kev txhawj xeeb tshaj li qhov nyiaj tshuav ntawm kev them nyiaj, thiab weakening nyiaj txiag txoj kev loj hlob.
Tib yam tseem ceeb los nce lub sij hawm uas Subbarao lub sij hawm yog ncua.
Hais lus nyob rau hauv Moscow rau hnub Saturday, Subbarao qhia Reuters hais tias nws tsis yog li deb tau nug kom nyob twj ywm.
“Tsis yog muaj tau tau xwb, yog li ntawd tsis muaj ib qho lus nug ntawm txais xwb. Nws yog ib qho hypothetical lo lus nug. Raws li kuv said ua ntej, kuv yuav tsum mus,” Subbarao said on lub sidelines ntawm ib lub rooj sib tham ntawm lub ntiaj teb no lub nyiaj txiag thawj coj.
Leej twg tau txais nod inherits ib qho kev khwv nyiaj txiag loj hlob nyob rau hauv nws cov slowest nyob rau hauv ib xyoo caum, thiab saddled nrog ib cov ntaub ntawv theem ob tam sim no tus account nyiaj tsawg uas tau tsa kev ntshai tias tshuav nyiaj ntawm kev them nyiaj yuav worsen. Down ze li 10 feem pua ​​ntawm cov tawm tsam ib duas txij thaum pib ntawm May, lub rupee nyuam qhuav hit ib cov ntaub ntawv tsawg.
Ua teeb meem zuj zus, Prime Minister Singh lub zog Coalition yog mus rau kev xaiv tsa vim los ntawm May xyoo tom ntej, kom nws nyuaj rau thawb los ntawm unpopular kho uas yuav siv sij hawm ib co ceev tawm tam sim no tus account by attracting ntau txawv teb chaws peev.
Left sib ntaus sib tua ib tug rearguard kev txiav txim kom qeeb tus rupee tus swb, tus RBI coj ib tug uas muaj feem yuav xeem ib lub lim tiam los ntawm tightening liquidity thiab nyiaj ntus nqi, ib lub tswv yim hais tias compromises dag zog kom muab ib co zog rov qab mus rau hauv txoj kev loj hlob.
“Tam sim no, qhov loj yog kev txiav txim siab rau lawv nce mus nce los yog tam sim no tus account nyiaj tsawg thiab sab nraud sector risks,” said Rupa Rege Nitsure, Hmoob economist tom bank ntawm Baroda nyob rau hauv Mumbai, uas muab tso rau qhov txawv ntawm ib tug Subbarao ncua nyob rau zoo tshaj 50 feem pua.
Raws li tej yam uas sawv ntsug, Subbarao yog vim ua rau nws tas los peb lub hlis twg saib xyuas ntawm ntsig txog txoj cai nyob rau Lub Xya hli ntuj 30, nrog speculation Mounting tias nws tej zaum yuav raug yuam kom nyem liquidity nyuaj, tejzaum nws los ntawm cov nyiaj tsev nyiaj ‘nyiaj ntsuab tseg uas yuav tsum tau. Ib tug nce nyob rau hauv txoj cai kev txaus siab nqi, unthinkable ib lub lim tiam dhau los, yog tam sim no pom los ntawm ib co economists raws li ib tug sab nraum tau.
Rajan, ib tug qub International Fund ntsig txog Hmoob economist thiab University of Chicago xib fwb uas xa rov qab mus rau khej tsaib no los ua ib qhov txhuas Advisor nyob rau hauv cov nyiaj txiag Ministry, ces ntev tau saib raws li qhov nws nyiam, tab sis Ministry insiders hais tias nws muaj kev sib tw.
Rajan, 50, yuav coj ntiaj teb no stature thiab ib tsoo ntawm glamor mus rau RBI. Nws tsis xwm raws li ib tug ‘outsider’ – nws tau siv ntau ntawm nws txoj hauj lwm nyob rau hauv lub tebchaws United States – yuav suav tawm tsam nws, raws li li qhov tau hais tias nws yuav dhau lawm ywj siab rau Tshiab Delhi lub liking.
Nws views on nce nqi kev tswj raug pom yuav ntxhib rau hauv txoj kab nrog rau cov ntawm Subbarao, uas tau unexpectedly hawkish.
Lub economist pob zeb lub hnub qub? Lub bureaucrat? Lub incumbent?
Lub keeb neeg ntawm Reserve bank ntawm khej Hmoob tseem yog ib tug teeb meem ntawm speculation txawm li Governor Duvvuri Subbarao scrambles txhawb ib embattled rupee nrog tsawg tshaj li xya lub lim tiam mus ua ntej nws yog vim tawm chaw ua hauj lwm.
Pem hauv ntej-Khiav tsis tau yeej ib txwm tau lub RBI post, thiab haib Indian civil kev pab, ntawm uas Mayaram yog ib tug tswv cuab, zov mus thawb rau ib qho ntawm nws tus kheej. Subbarao thiab nws predecessor, Y.V. Reddy, kuj tseem yog ib feem ntawm lub Indian Administrative Service.
Qhov kev txiav txim siab yuav kawg yuav tau los ntawm tus Prime Minister nyob rau hauv kev sab laj nrog Chidambaram.
Yog hais tias xaiv yog nyob lub chav kawm nrog Subbarao, 63, nws tej zaum yuav yog rau ib lub sij hawm luv luv, tejzaum nws mus rau dej ntas tus tsoom fwv los ntawm kev xaiv tsa, ib economist said. Subbarao twb pib muab ib tug peb lub xyoo lub sij hawm uas ncua mus rau tsib xyoos.
Chaudhuri, Mayaram, Rajan, thiab Subbarao tsis yeem mus saib.
TSHIAB bank LICENCES
Tom ntej no RBI Governor yuav oversee cov txheej txheem ntawm issuing bank cai rau Indian Corporate tsev, ib txoj cai tsav los ntawm nyiaj txiag Ministry uas tau tsawg enthusiastically embraced nyob rau hauv lub central bank nyob rau hauv Mumbai.
Ib tug neeg sib tw lub view on issuing bank cai tej zaum yuav tsis yuav lub litmus xeem nws yuav tau nyob rau hauv ib tug ntau ruaj nyiaj txiag ib puag ncig, tiam sis nws tseem yog ib tug xav.
“Txij thaum muaj sib txawv ntawm lub tsoom fwv thiab Subbarao on qhov teeb meem ntawm cov tshiab ntsuam xyuas nyiaj cai, qhov no tseem ceeb yuav mus tawm tsam nws,” said ib tug nyiaj txiag Ministry official, declining yuav tsum tau qhia muab rhiab heev ntawm qhov teeb meem.
Ib qho kev ncua ntawm Subbarao lub tenure, ib zaug tsis zoo li, tau dhau los ua ib tug tau raws li lub rupee reels los ntawm ib tug selldown ntawm tawm kev lag luam uas tau hit khej tshwj xeeb tshaj yog nyuaj vim nws cov high school tam sim no tus account nyiaj tsawg.
Lwm yam uas sib tw yog cov Raghuram Rajan, Khej tus Hmoob nyiaj txiag Advisor, uas tau nws lub npe los ntawm txoj kev xav thiab twv lub ntiaj teb no nyiaj txiag teebmeem; thiab Economic Affairs Secretary Arvind Mayaram, ib tug ua hauj lwm civil servant thiab tseem ceeb lieutenant mus txog nyiaj txiag Minister P. Chidambaram.
Saumitra Chaudhuri, 59, ib tug tswv cuab ntawm Prime Minister Manmohan Singh tus kev hais tau Planning Commission, tau kuj tau raug nplua los ntawm tseem fwv qhov chaw thiab xov xwm raws li ib tug contender.

EU-Asia